How The Race Stacks Up From Here
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How The Race Stacks Up From Here
By DICK MORRIS
Published on DickMorris.com on March 14, 2012
Printer-Friendly Version
Romney is on track to win the nomination when the primaries and caucuses are over on June 6th.
Currently, Romney has 498 of the 1,144 he needs to be nominated. He now has 53% of the selected delegates, a clip he has been maintaining since the start of the process. Santorum has 25%, Gingrich 15%, and Paul 7%.
CURRENT DELEGATE COUNT |
| Romney | 498 | 53% |
| Santorum | 239 | 25% |
| Gingrich | 139 | 15% |
| Paul | 69 | 7% |
Romney is very likely to win the following winner-take-all primaries:
LIKELY ROMNEY WINNER TAKE ALL WINS |
| Puerto Rico | 23 |
| DC | 19 |
| Maryland | 37 |
| Connecticut | 28 |
| Delaware | 17 |
| Rhode Island | 19 |
| Oregon | 28 |
| Cal | 172 |
| Montana | 25 |
| NJ | 50 |
| Utah | 40 |
458
+ 498 (current Romney)
________________________
956 TOTAL |
In addition, Romney will probably win these winner take all states:
| Wisconsin | 42 |
| Indiana | 46 |
| West Virginia | 31 |
| Nebraska | 35 |
| South Dakota | 28 |
182
+ 956
___________
1,138 |
Finally, Romney will probably do very well in the following proportional representation states. Some, like New York and Illinois, award most of their delegates as a winner take all by Congressional District .
P.R. State Delegates / Prob Romney |
| New York | 95 / 80 |
| Illinois | 69 / 45 |
| Maine | 24 / 20 |
| New Mexico | 23 / 15 |
160
+ 1,138
___________
1,298 |
Needed to Nominate: 1,144
So, even if Romney loses the winner take all primaries in North Carolina and Pennsylvania and gets clobbered in Texas, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, and a few other conservative states, he should win the nomination by the time the primaries are over on June 6th.
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About Dick Morris
Dick Morris is well known for his insightful and hard-hitting commentary on the FOXNews channel. With his wife, Eileen McGann, Dick has written 14 books, including 10 NY Times best-sellers. Together they pen almost daily columns for their website www.DickMorris.com, the New York Post, Newsmax, the Hill Magazine and many other publications. Domestically, Morris has handled the winning campaigns of more than 30 Senators and Governors, including President Bill Clinton and Republican Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott. Internationally, he has piloted the successful campaigns of the president or prime minister of Mexico, Colombia, Argentina, Uruguay, Kenya, Hungary, Poland, Taiwan, and Japan.
Morris’ and McGann’s latest book is Revolt!: How to Defeat Obama and Repeal His Socialist Agenda – A Patriot’s Guide.
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